Key result
Prehospital modified HEART score identifies low-risk chest pain patients with ~98% NPV for 30-day MACE.
Why the study?
Does a prehospital modified HEART score predict 30-day MACE in adult patients with undifferentiated chest pain transported by EMS?
Cohort (n=794)
No
Does a prehospital modified HEART score predict 30-day MACE in adult patients with undifferentiated chest pain transported by EMS?
A prehospital modified HEART score effectively identifies low-risk chest pain patients with a high negative predictive value for 30-day major adverse cardiac events.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
May support prehospital low-risk stratification in chest pain; leaves open prospective validation before EMS adoption.
Introduction The History, Electrocardiogram (ECG), Age, Risk Factors, and Troponin (HEART) score is a decision aid designed to risk stratify emergency department (ED) patients with acute chest pain. It has been validated for ED use, but it has yet to be evaluated in a prehospital setting. Hypothesis A prehospital modified HEART score can predict major adverse cardiac events (MACE) among undifferentiated chest pain patients transported to the ED. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of patients with chest pain transported by two county-based Emergency Medical Service (EMS) agencies to a tertiary care center was conducted. Adults without ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) were included. Inter-facility transfers and those without a prehospital 12-lead ECG or an ED troponin measurement were excluded. Modified HEART scores were calculated by study investigators using a standardized data collection tool for each patient. All MACE (death, myocardial infarction [MI], or coronary revascularization) were determined by record review at 30 days. The sensitivity and negative predictive values (NPVs) for MACE at 30 days were calculated. RESULTS: Over the study period, 794 patients met inclusion criteria. A MACE at 30 days was present in 10.7% (85/794) of patients with 12 deaths (1.5%), 66 MIs (8.3%), and 12 coronary revascularizations without MI (1.5%). The modified HEART score identified 33.2% (264/794) of patients as low risk. Among low-risk patients, 1.9% (5/264) had MACE (two MIs and three revascularizations without MI). The sensitivity and NPV for 30-day MACE was 94.1% (95% CI, 86.8-98.1) and 98.1% (95% CI, 95.6-99.4), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Prehospital modified HEART scores have a high NPV for MACE at 30 days. A study in which prehospital providers prospectively apply this decision aid is warranted. Stopyra JP , Harper WS , Higgins TJ , Prokesova JV , Winslow JE , Nelson RD , Alson RL , Davis CA , Russell GB , Miller CD , Mahler SA . Prehospital modified HEART score predictive of 30-day adverse cardiac events. Prehosp Disaster Med. 2018;33(1):58-62.
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Stopyra et al. (2018) conducted a cohort in Undifferentiated chest pain (n=794). Modified HEART score vs. High-risk assessment was evaluated on 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (OR 9.2, 95% CI 3.6-23.0). A prehospital modified HEART score identified 33.2% of chest pain patients as low risk, achieving a negative predictive value of 98.1% for 30-day major adverse cardiac events.
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