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The aim is to critique methods for aggregating expert opinions that express uncertainty about a specific quantity.

February 1, 1986Statistical ScienceOpen Access

Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography

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The aim is to critique methods for aggregating expert opinions that express uncertainty about a specific quantity.
Reviewed a taxonomy of solutions for expert opinion aggregation.
Surveyed recent theoretical developments in consensus belief formation.
Included an extensive annotated bibliography on current research directions.
Identified gaps in existing methods for consolidating expert opinions.
Outlined potential future research directions in decision-making frameworks.

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This critique surveys theoretical developments in aggregating expert opinions to enhance decision-making, indicating future research directions.

Genest et al. (1986) studied this question.

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This critique surveys theoretical developments in aggregating expert opinions to enhance decision-making, indicating future research directions.