Methods of Economic Assessment of Strategies for Sustainable Development of Agro-Food Systems - Foreign Experience

The sustenance of mankind with food in the current conditions of global climate change is impossible without a low-carbon transformation of agri-food systems in compliance with all criteria for the sustainability and efficiency of their development during this process. The multicriteria and interdisciplinarity of analytical assessments of systemic evolution and transformation is based on a variety of methodological approaches that have been tested and put into practice abroad. Of particular interest is the comparison of the results of calculations using modern models of agri-food systems on the same data and scenario assumptions. The capabilities of modern mathematical models are such that their estimates of the strategies for sustainable development of agri-food systems are similar in signs, but so far differ in magnitude. The main problem is the adequacy of the specification of the endogenous effects of crop yields and land use change. Therefore, the main direction of improving models in the coming years will be to improve the accuracy of simulating the impact of climate change on agriculture. It is this part of all models that is most sensitive to scenario conditions.