Twenty-Year Trends in Long-Term Mortality Risk in 17 149 Survivors of Ischemic Stroke Less Than 55 Years of Age

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The purpose of the present study was to investigate the 4-year mortality risk among patients<55 years with a first ischemic stroke during 1987-2006. METHODS: A total of 17,149 cases (37.4% women) aged 18 to 54 years who survived≥28 days after a first ischemic stroke were identified in the Swedish Inpatient Register from 1987 to 2006. All patients were followed for 4 years or until death. The standardized mortality ratio was calculated by comparing the mortality rates with those of the general population of equivalent age, sex, and calendar year. RESULTS: During the period, there were 1265 deaths. Long-term survival improved over time in both men and women. Among men, the mortality risk decreased by 32% (hazard ratio=0.68 [95% confidence interval, 0.56-0.82]) from the first 5-year period to the last 5-year period (1987-1991 versus 2002-2006), and among women, the mortality risk decreased by 45% (0.55 [0.41-0.75]). Despite an overall decrease in mortality, the standardized mortality ratios for the last 5-year period remained high: 5.88 (95% confidence interval, 5.10-6.71) for men and 5.91 (4.68-7.29) for women with an absolute excess risk of 1.60 and 0.97 per 100 person-years, respectively, with nearly half of all deaths related to cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: During the 20-year period, 4-year mortality decreased by one third but was still 6-fold higher than that of the general population in the most recent period, emphasizing the importance of secondary prevention in young persons who have had a stroke.