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May 1, 2020The LancetOpen Access

Estimating excess 1-year mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic according to underlying conditions and age: a population-based cohort study

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Authors

Amitava BanerjeeAmitava BanerjeeHeart Failure & TransplantLPLaura PaseaHeart Failure / CardiomyopathySHSteve HarrisCross-Cutting Cardiology

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Implication

Population-based cohort study estimates excess 1-year mortality in high-risk individuals during COVID-19, suggesting intervention needs.

Key Points

  • This study estimates the excess mortality associated with COVID-19 based on age and underlying health conditions.
  • Population-based cohort study using linked health records from England.
  • Estimated 1-year mortality and excess deaths under different COVID-19 incidence scenarios.
  • Developed a risk calculator for excess death estimation based on age and underlying conditions.
  • Over 20% of the population identified as high-risk, with 1-year mortality at 4.46%.
  • In mitigation scenarios, estimated excess deaths range from 18,374 to 587,982 based on varying relative risks (RRs).
  • Highlights the vital need for sustained measures to protect high-risk populations.

Cite This Study

Banerjee et al. (2020) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0b9d985f2af8d200c1fedchttps://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30854-0
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