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May 19, 2026Land Degradation and Development

Panel Econometric Analysis and Neural Network Forecasting of Economic Impacts From Land Degradation in the Yangtze River Basin Using Remote Sensing Data

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HXHan Xu

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Overview

Randomized trial shows that land degradation reduces agriculture and water efficiency in cities, indicating urgent governance needs.

Key Points

  • This study aims to quantify the economic impacts of land degradation in the Yangtze River Basin using remote sensing and econometric analysis.
  • Integrated panel econometric analysis with neural network forecasting using remote sensing data from 175 cities in the Yangtze River Basin.
  • Analyzed NDVI dynamics and land-cover changes from Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8/9 imagery during 2018-2024.
  • Utilized a hybrid modeling approach, including long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks, achieving high predictive accuracy.
  • A 0.1 decline in mean NDVI led to an 8.3% reduction in agricultural output (p < 0.001).
  • Total economic loss from water-quality deterioration is estimated at ¥127.4 billion by 2024 due to rising phosphorus concentrations.
  • LSTM models achieved R2 = 0.92 for sector-specific forecasting, outperforming R2 = 0.78 from traditional econometric models.

Cite This Study

Han Xu (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0bfdc7166b51b53d379120https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.70623
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