Review highlights ordinal outcome assessment methods, including proportional odds and win probability, in infectious disease trials, suggesting improved interpretability.
Infectious disease trials have long used ordinal outcomes, or ranked categorical scales, to capture the full spectrum of response to an intervention. We review 2 summary statistics for ordinal outcomes: the proportional odds ratio (pOR) and the win probability. The pOR asks: How much more likely is a treated participant to be in an improved category compared with control? The win probability asks: In a random treatment-control pair, what is the chance the treated participant fares better? We also introduce visual companions, the stacked-bar chart and bubble plot, to make ordinal trial results more accessible and interpretable.
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Harrison et al. (2026) studied this question.
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