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Conceptual framework analyzes volcanic transitions by exploring recovery and stability in geophysical systems, suggesting new monitoring approaches.
This work proposes the Planetary Stability Interface (PSI), a relaxation-based framework designed to analyze metastable dynamics, critical slowing down, perturbation persistence, and recovery degradation in complex geophysical systems. Rather than interpreting volcanic and tectonic instability solely as a consequence of energetic accumulation, PSI investigates the possibility that catastrophic transitions may also emerge through progressive weakening of dissipative recovery capability. The framework integrates concepts from nonlinear dynamics, stochastic critical-transition theory, metastability, and multiparametric geophysical monitoring into a unified stability-oriented perspective. Potential applications include: volcanic unrest monitoring, hydrothermal instability analysis, tectonic transition dynamics, and comparative evaluation against existing early-warning methodologies. This publication is conceptual and exploratory in nature and is intended to support future empirical validation using real-world geophysical datasets.
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Martin Petrásek (2026) studied this question.
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