Dynamic panel analysis reveals an inverted U-shaped relationship between finance and pro-poor growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, suggesting excessive financial expansion hinders poverty alleviation.
This paper extends the empirical analysis establishing the significant and positive/negative influence of finance on growth/poverty by examining the contribution of financial development to pro-poor growth. We investigate the relationship between financial development and pro-poor growth in a panel of 29 countries from sub-Saharan Africa over the period 1994–2019. We focus on the vast majority income as the main indicator of pro-poor growth. We use the recent financial development index as a measure of financial development. Using Pooled Mean Group-ARDL estimation in a dynamic heterogeneous panel framework, we obtain the following results: (i) from linear analysis, there is a positive and significant effect of financial access, financial efficiency and the overall financial development index on pro-poor growth in the short run, while in the long run, only financial efficiency affects negatively and significantly pro-poor growth; (ii) results show that the nonlinear relation is not verified in the short run, while in the long run, there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the financial development index, financial access and financial depth and pro-poor growth. This suggests that too much finance can be detrimental to pro-poor growth in SSA. Financial inclusion of the poor combined with governance is necessary to improve pro-poor growth.
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Timbi et al. (2023) studied this question.
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