Key result
Brazilian cardiovascular mortality falls ~31%, with smaller reductions in smaller and vulnerable regions.
Why the study?
Age-standardized cardiovascular disease mortality rates have decreased in Brazil, but how this reduction is distributed across the country's municipalities remained unknown.
Observational (n=5,564)
The reduction in cardiovascular disease mortality in Brazil between 2000 and 2018 was uneven, with smaller and less developed municipalities experiencing significantly less improvement compared to larger, more developed ones.
Uneven CVD mortality declines across Brazilian municipalities highlight access inequities; leaves open drivers and targeted strategies.
Background: Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) have decreased in Brazil in the last decades due to better control of risk factors and access to healthcare. However, how this reduction is distributed across the country's municipalities is unknown. We aimed to evaluate changes in CVD mortality rates across Brazilian municipalities from 2000 to 2018 using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Methods: In this ecological study, ASMR for CVD were estimated using GBD methodology for 5564 Brazilian municipalities from 5 regions in the triennials: 2000-2002, 2009-2011, 2016-2018. A visuospatial analysis was applied to create clusters in ASMR with Moran Local analysis. Municipalities were stratified by population size in <30,000, 30,000-300,000, and >300,000 inhabitants per region. The % changes in ASMR from 2000-2002 to 2016-2018 were calculated. Findings: In 2000-2002, ASMR for CVD were higher in more developed regions and in larger municipalities of all regions, except for the South. In 2016-2018, CVD ASMR increased in the least developed Northern regions. The % reduction in CVD ASMR was lower in small vs large municipalities within all 5 regions, varying from -3% in small Northern municipalities to -43% in large Southern municipalities. Interpretation: The reduction in CVD mortality in Brazil was lower in municipalities from the most vulnerable regions and smaller populations. Public policies tailored to these smaller municipalities, particularly on the least developed regions, must be considered a priority.
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Brant et al. (2025) conducted an observational in Cardiovascular diseases mortality (n=5,564). Time period (2016-2018) vs. Time period (2000-2002) was evaluated on Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for cardiovascular diseases per 100,000 inhabitants (-31% (percent change)). Age-standardized mortality rates for cardiovascular diseases in Brazil decreased by 31% from 2000 to 2018, with smaller reductions observed in smaller municipalities and more vulnerable regions.
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