The global burden of cancer: priorities for prevention
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Implication
Epidemiological analysis projects a doubling of cancer cases globally by 2030, highlighting the urgent need for international tobacco control and expanded vaccination.
Key Points
- Project global trends in cancer incidence and mortality through 2030 and identify feasible public health priorities for prevention in resource-limited settings.
- Evaluated worldwide cancer incidence and mortality data from 2007 alongside demographic forecasts extending through 2030 and 2050.
- Assessed population aging trajectories, the spread of modifiable behavioral risks, and regional patterns in chronic infection-related malignancies.
- Annual global cancer burden is projected to rise from over 12 million cases and 7.6 million deaths in 2007 to approximately 26 million new cases and 17 million deaths by 2030.
- Developing nations face disproportionate increases due to a tripling of populations surviving to age 65 by 2050, combined with rising tobacco use, obesity, and persistent infection-associated cancers.
- Strengthening international tobacco control and expanding vaccination against hepatitis B and human papillomavirus represent the most feasible strategies to curb future mortality.
Cite This Study
Thun et al. (2009) studied this question.