Morris H. DeGroot, Stephen E. Fienberg, The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D (The Statistician), Vol. 32, No. 1/2, Proceedings of the 1982 I.O.S. Annual Conference on Practical Bayesian Statistics (Mar. - Jun., 1983), pp. 12-22
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
DeGroot et al. (1983) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 4 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: