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September 28, 2022Heart Rhythm O29 citationsOpen Access

Residual stroke risk despite oral anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation

MCMatthew A. CarlislePSPeter ShraderMFMarat Fudim

Key Result

In patients with atrial fibrillation receiving oral anticoagulation, previous stroke or transient ischemic attack was the strongest independent predictor of residual thromboembolic risk (HR 2.87).

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=18,955)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

What factors are associated with residual risk for stroke, systemic embolism, or transient ischemic attack in patients with atrial fibrillation despite oral anticoagulation?

P
Population
18,955 patients with atrial fibrillation from the ORBIT-AF I and II registries, mean age 72 ± 10.7, 42% women.
I
Intervention
Oral anticoagulation (OAC)
O
Outcome
Thromboembolic events (stroke, systemic embolism, or transient ischemic attack)hard clinical

Despite oral anticoagulation, patients with atrial fibrillation remain at risk for thromboembolic events, particularly those with previous stroke/TIA, female sex, hypertension, and permanent AF.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 2.87 (95% CI 2.30-3.59)

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • Inability to monitor patient adherence to direct-acting oral anticoagulants
  • Unable to differentiate between embolic and nonembolic/vascular strokes
  • Cannot confirm that all strokes were secondary to thromboembolic events related to AF
  • Observational design limits causal inference and is hypothesis-generating

Abstract

Background: Oral anticoagulation (OAC) reduces the risk of thromboembolic events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF); however, thromboembolism (TE) still can occur despite OAC. Factors associated with residual risk for stroke, systemic embolism, or transient ischemic attack events despite OAC have not been well described. Objective: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the residual risk of thromboembolic events in patients with AF despite OAC. Methods: A total of 18,955 patients were analyzed in the Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation (ORBIT-AF I and II) using multivariable Cox proportional hazard modeling. Mean age was 72 ± 10.7, and 42% were women. There were 451 outcome events. Results: = .001). When transient ischemic attack was excluded, the results were similar, but permanent AF was no longer significantly associated with thromboembolic events. Conclusion: -VASc score despite OAC. Key risk markers include previous stroke/transient ischemic attack, female sex, hypertension, and permanent AF.

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Cite This Study

Carlisle et al. (2022) conducted an observational in Atrial fibrillation (n=18,955). Oral anticoagulation was evaluated on Thromboembolic events (stroke, systemic embolism, or transient ischemic attack) associated with previous stroke/TIA (HR 2.87, 95% CI 2.30-3.59, p=<0.001). In patients with atrial fibrillation receiving oral anticoagulation, previous stroke or transient ischemic attack was the strongest independent predictor of residual thromboembolic risk (HR 2.87).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0f83f29e54838161fcd01dhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.hroo.2022.09.018
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Adherence to Guideline-Directed Stroke Prevention Therapy for Atrial Fibrillation Is Achievable2019 · 78 citations
  2. 2Residual Risk of Stroke and Death in Anticoagulant-Treated Patients With Atrial Fibrillation2016 · 70 citations
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