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January 10, 2015Biology of Blood and Marrow TransplantationOpen Access

A Refined Risk Score for Acute Graft-versus-Host Disease that Predicts Response to Initial Therapy, Survival, and Transplant-Related Mortality

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Authors

MMMargaret L. MacMillanMRMarie RobinAHAndrew C. Harris

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Overview

Cohort study reveals a refined risk score stratifies treatment response and mortality in acute graft-versus-host disease, highlighting targeted clinical trial pathways.

Key Points

  • To establish and evaluate a refined clinical risk score for acute graft-versus-host disease at the onset of systemic steroid therapy to better predict therapeutic response and survival outcomes.
  • Assessed clinical stage and disease grade at the start of systemic steroid treatment in a cohort of 1,723 patients.
  • Used recursive partitioning, clinical grouping, and descriptive statistics to classify patients into high-risk (n=269) and standard-risk (n=1,454) acute graft-versus-host disease based on initial organ involvement and severity.
  • Day-28 overall response rates were significantly lower in high-risk patients compared with standard-risk patients (44% [95% CI, 38% to 50%] vs 68% [95% CI, 66% to 70%]; OR 0.3; 95% CI, 0.2 to 0.4; P < .001).
  • High-risk status predicted increased overall mortality (RR 2.1; 95% CI, 1.7 to 2.6; P < .001) and higher transplant-related mortality (RR 2.5; 95% CI, 2.0 to 3.2; P < .001) relative to standard risk.

Cite This Study

MacMillan et al. (2015) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1068182badbc352afff384https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bbmt.2015.01.001
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