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A statewide probability sample of 1,625 Massachusetts elderly was studied prospectively over a decade to identify risk profiles for long-term care (LTC) institutionalization. Previous admission to a LTC institution, age, basic ADL disability, and restricted outside mobility were the strongest individual predictors of institutionalization. Examining profiles of risk factors dramatically increased the ability to predict 10-year risk of admission.
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Jette et al. (1992) studied this question.
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