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May 23, 2026Political AnalysisOpen Access

Estimating Treatment Effects on Proportions with Synthetic Controls

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Authors

KBKonstantin BogatyrevLSLukas F. Stoetzer

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Overview

Randomized trial demonstrates improved comparability of treatment effects in compositional data, highlighting the method's usefulness.

Key Points

  • This research aims to enhance the estimation of treatment effects on proportions by jointly analyzing multiple compositional outcomes using synthetic controls.
  • Developed a new approach to jointly estimate synthetic controls for multiple proportions.
  • Utilized the same weights for compositions to improve the control comparison and adhere to treatment effect constraints.
  • Illustrated the approach through simulations and real-world empirical studies.
  • Demonstrated improved comparability of treatment effects across compositional outcomes.
  • Validated the method's effectiveness through simulations showing clearer causal inferences.
  • Highlighted the applicability of joint estimation in political science data analysis.

Cite This Study

Bogatyrev et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a11452f48a409a3a49df166https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2026.10046
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