Key result
The 2016 presidential election linked to a ~62% increase in acute CVD hospitalizations.
Why the study?
Stressors may trigger acute cardiovascular disease events, but there has been limited research examining sociopolitical events such as presidential elections.
Does the sociopolitical stress of the 2016 presidential election increase the rate of acute cardiovascular disease hospitalizations in adults?
Observational (n=2,997,408)
Yes
Does the sociopolitical stress of the 2016 presidential election increase the rate of acute cardiovascular disease hospitalizations in adults?
Sociopolitical stress surrounding the 2016 presidential election was associated with a transiently heightened risk of acute cardiovascular events, including AMI and stroke.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
May heighten acute CVD risk awareness around elections; hypothesis-generating and should not yet change practice.
Previous research suggests that stressors may trigger the onset of acute cardiovascular disease (CVD) events within hours to days, but there has been limited research around sociopolitical events such as presidential elections. Among adults ≥18 y of age in Kaiser Permanente Southern California, hospitalization rates for acute CVD were compared in the time period immediately prior to and following the 2016 presidential election date. Hospitalization for CVD was defined as an inpatient or emergency department discharge diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or stroke using International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision codes. Rate ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated comparing CVD rates in the 2 d following the 2016 election to rates in the same 2 d of the prior week. In a secondary analysis, AMI and stroke were analyzed separately. The rate of CVD events in the 2 d after the 2016 presidential election (573.14 per 100,000 person-years [PY]) compared to the rate in the window prior to the 2016 election (353.75 per 100,000 PY) was 1.62 times higher (95% CI 1.17, 2.25). Results were similar across sex, age, and race/ethnicity groups. The RRs were similar for AMI (RR 1.67, 95% CI 1.00, 2.76) and stroke (RR 1.59, 95% CI 1.03, 2.44) separately. Transiently heightened cardiovascular risk around the 2016 election may be attributable to sociopolitical stress. Further research is needed to understand the intersection between major sociopolitical events, perceived stress, and acute CVD events.
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Mefford et al. (2020) conducted an observational in Acute cardiovascular disease (n=2,997,408). 2016 presidential election period vs. Same 2 days in the prior week was evaluated on Hospitalization for acute CVD (AMI or stroke) (RR 1.62, 95% CI 1.17, 2.25, p=0.004). The rate of acute cardiovascular disease hospitalizations in the 2 days after the 2016 presidential election was 1.62 times higher compared to the same 2 days in the prior week.
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