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Novel direct antiviral-acting (DAA) molecules significantly improved efficacy and ameliorated outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). The extensive use of DAA from 2015, due to large access to therapy, maximized rates of viral eradication with a safety profile in the majority of cases. AIMS: We evaluated risk factors and the incidence of related clinical events and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in cases with sustained virologic response (SVR) after DAA. We also aimed to apply a score assessment to identify the individual patient with unfavorable outcomes during an average follow-up (FU) of five years. METHODS: In total, 470 cases consecutively recruited with CHC have been compared by non-invasive tests (NIT), as APRI, FORNS, FIB-4, LSPS, and transient elastography (TE) liver stiffness measurement (LSM), to identify cutoff related to major event onset. RESULTS: Grouping of cases without or with related events development of both types hepatic (HE) (i.e., HCC or further cirrhosis decompensation or/with hospitalized septic state) or extrahepatic (EHE) (i.e., other tumors, bleeding, or thrombotic episodes and other organs pathologic conditions not liver related)allowed us to select the parameters to propose a novel risk stratification system (RISS) for the identification of the remnant individual patient's risk for HCC occurrence, orthotopic liver transplant (OLT) need, or death during long-term follow-up (FU). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension (PH) maintained a higher LSM mean value (>25 kPa), showed the lowest reduction of NIT scores, and developed events in 80/108 (74%) cases (67 and 13 of HE and EHE type), even after long-term successful DAA therapy. Furthermore, cases with RISS score ≥ 8 demonstrated a significant incidence of HCC (37/46, 80.4%) and a reduction in survival rate to 65.4% at 5-year FU.
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Cavalletto et al. (2025) studied this question.
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