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May 25, 2026Open Access

Numerical Modeling and Vulnerability Assessment of Saltwater Intrusion in Coastal Aquifers of Bozcaada Island under Climate Change and Groundwater Over-Abstraction

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This research aims to model saltwater intrusion in coastal aquifers of Bozcaada Island under climate change and groundwater over-abstraction.
Developed a three-dimensional model using MODFLOW2005–SEAWAT framework.
Calibrated the model with observed hydraulic heads and specific conductance data.
Validated model results through a 2.5 year field monitoring campaign.
Elevated chloride concentrations and electrical conductivity were found in coastal areas, particularly in the north, west, and east.
North and east regions are vulnerable to saltwater intrusion due to excessive groundwater abstraction.
Pumping spatial distribution significantly affects the position of the saltwater wedge.

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Randomized trial assesses saltwater intrusion in coastal aquifers, suggesting improved recharge management strategies.

ZULAL et al. (2026) studied this question.

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