Late Outcome of Bleeding Gastric Ulcer: Five to Eight Years' Follow-up

BACKGROUND: Gastric ulcer haemorrhage is associated with a high immediate mortality, but few data exist on the late prognosis of these patients. The aim of this study was to determine the long-term recurrence rate and late outcome in patients with gastric ulcer complicated with bleeding. METHODS: In a prospective follow-up study 90 consecutive patients with a bleeding gastric ulcer discharged after non-operative treatment (bleeding controlled by endoscopic electrocoagulation or ceased spontaneously) were followed up once every year for 5-8 years (median, 6.5 years). RESULTS: Recurrent ulcer was seen in 17 patients, repeat haemorrhage being the presenting symptom in 13 of them. The estimated cumulative recurrence rate after 2, 5, and 8 years was 10%, 19% and 33%, respectively. Recurrence rate was unaffected by sex, complicating disease, and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) ingestion before and after the index bleeding episode. The recurrence rate of patients with a history of ulcer before the index bleeding episode did not differ from that of patients with no previous ulcer history. A significantly increased risk of recurrence was seen in patients with previous bleed as opposed to patients with previous non-bleeding ulcer (p < 0.05). The cumulative survival rate was significantly reduced compared with the expected survival rate of the sex- and age-matched background population (p < 0.01), primarily because of diseases not related to the ulcer disease. CONCLUSION: Bleeding gastric ulcer is associated with a relatively low long-term recurrence rate, except in a few patients with a history of previous bleeding ulcer, who have an increased risk of recurrence. Patients with bleeding gastric ulcer have an excess mortality not related to the ulcer disease.