Key result
Deep learning predicts 1-year post-ablation AF recurrence with ~0.77 AUROC, outperforming APPLE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores.
Why the study?
Guidelines recommend considering prognosis when deciding on RFCA for AF, but a robust prediction model reflecting complex interactions between prognostic features remained to be developed.
Does a deep learning model improve the prediction of late recurrence of atrial fibrillation within 1 year after radiofrequency catheter ablation compared to clinical scores and traditional machine learning techniques?
Observational (n=177)
Does a deep learning model improve the prediction of late recurrence of atrial fibrillation within 1 year after radiofrequency catheter ablation compared to clinical scores and traditional machine learning techniques?
Effect estimate: AUROC 0.766
A deep learning model based on multilayer perceptron architecture outperformed traditional clinical scores and machine learning techniques in predicting late recurrence of AF within 1 year after RFCA.
May aid post-ablation AF risk stratification; hypothesis-generating and requires prospective validation before clinical use.
Current guidelines on atrial fibrillation (AF) emphasized that radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) should be decided after fully considering its prognosis. However, a robust prediction model reflecting the complex interactions between the features affecting prognosis remains to be developed. In this paper, we propose a deep learning model for predicting the late recurrence after RFCA in patients with AF. Aiming to predict the late recurrence (LR) of AF within 1 year after pulmonary vein isolation, we designed a multimodal model based on the multilayer perceptron architecture. For quantitative evaluation, we conducted 4-fold cross-validation on data from 177 AF patients including 47 LR patients. The proposed model (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve-AUROC, 0.766) outperformed the acute patient physiologic and laboratory evaluation (APPLE) score (AUROC, 0.605), CHA2DS2-VASc score (AUROC, 0.595), linear regression (AUROC, 0.541), logistic regression (AUROC, 0.546), extreme gradient boosting (AUROC, 0.608), and support vector machine (AUROC, 0.638). The proposed model exhibited better performance than clinical indicators (APPLE and CHA2DS2-VASc score) and machine learning techniques (linear regression, logistic regression, extreme gradient boosting, and support vector machine). The model will support clinical decision-making for selecting good responders to the RFCA intervention.
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Lee et al. (2022) conducted an observational in Atrial Fibrillation (n=177). Deep learning model vs. APPLE score, CHA2DS2-VASc score, and traditional machine learning models was evaluated on Late recurrence of atrial fibrillation within 1 year after pulmonary vein isolation (AUROC 0.766). A deep learning model predicted late recurrence of atrial fibrillation within 1 year after radiofrequency catheter ablation with an AUROC of 0.766, outperforming APPLE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores.
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