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Complex knowledge work depends on individual output and on public exchanges that document problems, evaluate contributions, route expertise, and preserve reusable knowledge. Software work makes this infrastructure unusually visible through GitHub issues, reviews, comments, mentions, and cross-project ties. As generative AI coding tools become private, on-demand sources of task support, it is unclear whether productive output remains tightly coupled with participation in this GitHub-visible public knowledge infrastructure. This study examines that question using a balanced panel of approximately 38,000 freelance developers on GitHub observed quarterly from 2019 to 2025 (approximately 1,080,000 person-quarter observations), estimating within-person changes in the association between a Productivity Index and a Social Connectivity Index. Two-way fixed effects models estimate a substantively large weakening after mid-2022 (−0.138 SD, about 44 percent of the pre-AI slope), and the pattern remains stable across alternative operationalizations, model specifications, and sample definitions. A survey-linked subsample (n = 237) provides individual-level triangulation: the weakening aligns with developers’ self-reported AI adoption dates, and heavier AI users exhibit larger decoupling. Decomposition by exchange function is selective: public exchanges with more direct private AI support pathways (information seeking, troubleshooting, preliminary evaluation) weaken more than exchanges anchored in contextual judgment and new-tie formation. This study documents a large-scale behavioral decoupling between productive output and visible GitHub-based public knowledge-infrastructure participation in a real-world problem-solving setting. The pattern is consistent with cognitive offloading as one micro-level pathway, while direct process evidence is left to future work.
Tianhe Jiang (Wed,) studied this question.