Key result
Advancing age links to ~45% higher 30-day mortality per age category after emergency abdominal surgery.
Why the study?
It remains debated whether chronological age itself or accompanying perioperative variables primarily drive adverse outcomes after emergency abdominal surgery in the geriatric population.
Does advancing age increase 30-day mortality in geriatric patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery?
Cohort (n=98)
No
Does advancing age increase 30-day mortality in geriatric patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery?
Effect estimate: OR 1.45 (95% CI 1.10-2.20)
p-value: p=0.021
In geriatric patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery, chronological age is an independent but modest predictor of 30-day mortality, which is more strongly driven by ASA status and operative duration.
Age modestly and independently predicts 30-day mortality in this setting; leaves open whether frailty indices outperform chronological age for risk stratification.
Aim: The growing geriatric population faces high morbidity and mortality after emergency abdominal surgery. While age is often regarded as a risk factor, whether chronological age itself or accompanying perioperative variables primarily drive adverse outcomes remains debated. Material and Methods: Patients aged ≥65 years who underwent emergency abdominal surgery at Düzce University between 2015 and 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were stratified into three age groups (65–74, 75–84, ≥85 years). Demographic, clinical, perioperative, and postoperative data were collected. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of 30-day mortality. Results: A total of 98 patients were included (65–74 years, n=45; 75–84 years, n=35; ≥85 years, n=18). The overall 30-day mortality rate was 14.3%, with subgroup rates of 15.6%, 20.0%, and 16.7%, respectively. Postoperative complications occurred in 29 patients (29.6%), and 34 patients (34.7%) required ICU admission. In multivariable analysis, advancing age, higher ASA score, and prolonged operative time were independently associated with increased mortality risk, whereas comorbidity burden showed only a borderline effect. Conclusion: Emergency abdominal surgery in geriatric patients is associated with substantial morbidity, ICU utilization, and mortality. Although age contributed to mortality risk, its effect was modest and closely interrelated with ASA status and operative duration. A comprehensive assessment that incorporates both chronological age and perioperative factors is essential for accurate risk stratification and optimal perioperative care in this vulnerable population.
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Çetin et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Emergency abdominal surgery (n=98). Emergency abdominal surgery was evaluated on 30-day postoperative mortality (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.10-2.20, p=0.021). In geriatric patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery, advancing age independently increased 30-day mortality risk (OR 1.45 per age category), alongside higher ASA scores and operative time.
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