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This paper introduces AbotalebNet, a novel deep learning architecture optimized for time series forecasting, with a particular focus on the complexities of COVID-19 data. AbotalebNet’s architecture is mathematically represented as:{equation*} Y = {Attention}(LSTM ({CNN}(X))){1}{equation*}Here, X represents the input time series data, and Ŷ is the forecasted output. AbotalebNet integrates the feature extraction capabilities of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) with the sequential data processing power of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, further enhanced by a Multi-Head Attention mechanism.To address overfitting, a key challenge in deep learning, the model incorporates regularization strategies, dropout mechanisms, and batch normalization:{equation*} {min }_Θ ( Loss (X, Y;Θ ) + λ R(Θ )){2}{equation*}In this equation, Θ denotes the model parameters, R(Θ) represents regularization terms, and λ is the regularization coefficient. These additions aid in preventing the model from overfitting to the training data, ensuring robust performance on unseen data.Empirical evaluation on COVID-19 time series data demonstrates AbotalebNet’s enhanced predictive accuracy over traditional models, solidifying its potential for advanced non-linear time series analysis.
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Abotaleb et al. (2024) studied this question.