Key result
New dominant PRRSV sub-lineages replace predecessors every ~3 years in a pattern of sequential dominance.
Why the study?
The genetic diversity and frequent emergence of novel variants hinders PRRSV control efforts, yet drivers of its macro-evolutionary patterns remain poorly documented.
Observational (n=20,000)
The study identifies a pattern of sequential dominance and immune-mediated competition driving the genetic diversity and emergence of new PRRSV variants in the U.S.
May inform periodic PRRSV vaccine updates; leaves open whether immune competition drives sequential dominance.
The genetic diversity and frequent emergence of novel genetic variants of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus type-2 (PRRSV) hinders control efforts, yet drivers of macro-evolutionary patterns of PRRSV remain poorly documented. Utilizing a comprehensive database of >20,000 orf5 sequences, our objective was to classify variants according to the phylogenetic structure of PRRSV co-circulating in the U.S., quantify evolutionary dynamics of sub-lineage emergence, and describe potential antigenic differences among sub-lineages. We subdivided the most prevalent lineage (Lineage 1, accounting for approximately 60% of available sequences) into eight sub-lineages. Bayesian coalescent SkyGrid models were used to estimate each sub-lineage’s effective population size over time. We show that a new sub-lineage emerged every 1 to 4 years and that the time between emergence and peak population size was 4.5 years on average (range: 2–8 years). A pattern of sequential dominance of different sub-lineages was identified, with a new dominant sub-lineage replacing its predecessor approximately every 3 years. Consensus amino acid sequences for each sub-lineage differed in key GP5 sites related to host immunity, suggesting that sub-lineage turnover may be linked to immune-mediated competition. This has important implications for understanding drivers of genetic diversity and emergence of new PRRSV variants in the U.S.
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Paploski et al. (2021) conducted an observational in Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus type-2 (PRRSV) (n=20,000). Phylogenetic analysis of >20,000 PRRSV sequences demonstrated a pattern of sequential dominance, with a new dominant sub-lineage replacing its predecessor approximately every 3 years.
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