Literature review reveals major methodological and statistical barriers in analyzing multiple murder, highlighting difficulties in predicting low base rate violent events.
Cases of multiple murder stimulate intense feeling in both the public and scientific community. Because of this highly charged emotional climate and the statistical difficulties inherent in predicting low base rate behaviors, this topic has been difficult to evaluate scientifically. This article reviews the literature on multiple murder from dual perspectives of how knowledge is developed and major methodologic problems encountered in accruing such knowledge.
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Busch et al. (1986) studied this question.
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