Summary Assessment of Economic Risk of Soil Erosion Based on Land Condition Monitoring Data

It is noted that the assessment of crop losses is one of the main tasks of the economic science of crop production. Improving the accuracy of crop productivity prediction is an important tool in assessing profitability and risks of crop shortfall due to various predictors. The purpose of the present work was to provide a generalized economic assessment of the risk of crop shortfall due to the development of water erosion of soils. Yield was predicted from NDVI vegetation spectral index values from Sentinel-2 satellite data. Erosion intensity was quantified using the revised RUSLE universal soil loss equation. As a result of the studies, it was established that the maximum losses were obtained for the calculated case according to meteorological parameters for 5% probability of 60.52 and 89.59 thousand rubles/ha, respectively, for the conditions of 2024 and 2025.