Prediction of Frequency Response After Generator Outage Using Regression Tree

The ability of a regression tree method to properly interpolate among recorded data to give an estimate of the frequency decline following a generator outage is examined in this letter. The proposed method is a nonparametric technique that can select those system characteristics and their interactions that are most important in determining the relation between the generation/load imbalance and the frequency decline. The information obtained from the proposed method can be used online for scheduling fast-acting reserve or load shedding for severe generator outage incidents.