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May 31, 2026Ekonomika APKOpen Access

Modelling of the factor influence of grain market performance indicators on Ukraine’s GDP

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SCSvitlana Cheremisina

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Overview

Quantitative analysis reveals a significant impact of agricultural exports on GDP in Ukraine, suggesting policy implications.

Key Points

  • The study aims to quantitatively assess the influence of grain market indicators on Ukraine's GDP amidst structural and military challenges.
  • Statistical analysis of market indicators from 2010 to 2025
  • Correlation and correlation-regression modelling
  • Variational modelling with alternative factor variables
  • Significant impact of agricultural exports on GDP (r = 0.608)
  • Moderate negative correlation from grain exports (r = 0.415, coefficient -21.4 to -23.0)
  • 1% increase in grain share in exports linked to a USD 335 million GDP decrease

Cite This Study

Svitlana Cheremisina (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1bd0525783ba022b6fc34fhttps://doi.org/10.32317/ekon.apk/1.2026.47
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