Monitoring the Effectiveness of the Grain Economy of Ukraine: Influencing Factors and Post-War Perspectives

A comprehensive analysis of production efficiency was carried out, a model was developed and the degree of influence of factors on the level of profitability of growing grain crops was calculated. Forecasts of the yield of grain crops, wheat, corn, and barley for the nearest future have been built, taking into account the patterns that have developed over the previous period (1950- 2022). Forecast indicators of the profitability of the production of grain crops for the short-term perspective have been determined. The dependence of the efficiency of grain-growing enterprises on the average size of their sown areas was assessed. It was established that a positive return from the effect of scale, which is reflected in the form of an increase in productivity and profitability, is observed in grain farming enterprises when the land bank is increased to 5,000 hectares.