What question did this study set out to answer?

The aim is to optimize the concession period in public-private partnerships by examining interactive project risks and bankability criteria.

A System Dynamics Approach to Concession Period Optimization in Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs)

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Randomized trial develops a System Dynamics model to optimize concession periods in PPPs, suggesting improved decision-making.

The aim is to optimize the concession period in public-private partnerships by examining interactive project risks and bankability criteria.
Developed a System Dynamics model to assess concession period terms
Applied the model using data from recent PPPs in Italy
Examined causal interactions between risks and bankability
Variable interest rates, inflation, OPEX, and debt repayment mechanisms impact concession periods uniquely
Model provides a framework for decision-makers to estimate optimal concession terms

Castelblanco et al. (2025) studied this question.

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