Key result
ACEF score >1.283 accurately predicts in-hospital mortality in NSTE-ACS with ~0.85 AUC.
Why the study?
To investigate whether the ACEF score predicts in-hospital mortality in patients with NSTE-ACS and to evaluate its relationship with the GRACE risk score.
Does the ACEF score predict in-hospital mortality in patients with NSTE-ACS?
Observational (n=658)
No
Does the ACEF score predict in-hospital mortality in patients with NSTE-ACS?
Effect estimate: AUC 0.849 (95% CI 0.820-0.876)
Absolute Event Rate: 4.35% vs 0.26%
p-value: p=<0.0001
The ACEF score, using a simplified two-group classification with a cut-off of 1.283, provides excellent discrimination for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with NSTE-ACS.
Goal In this study, it was investigated whether the age, creatinine, and ejection fraction (ACEF) score [age (years) / ejection fraction (%) +1 (if creatinine >2 mg / dL)] could predict in-hospital mortality in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) and its relationship with the Global Record of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score were investigated.Material and methods The study enrolled 658 NSTE-ACS patients from January 2016 to August 2020. The patients were divided into two groups according to the ACEF score with an optimum cut-off value of 1.283 who were divided into two groups according to the ACEF score: low ACEF (≤1.283, n:382) and high ACEF (>1.283, n: 276). The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital all-cause mortality. The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital all-cause mortality. Statistically accuracy was defined with area under the curve by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis.Results In total, 13 (4.71 %) patients had in-hospital mortality. The ACEF score was significantly higher in the group with higher mortality than in the group with low mortality (2.1±0.53 vs. 1.34±0.56 p=0.001). The ACEF score was positively correlated with GRACE risk score (r=0.188 p<0.0001). In ROC curve analysis, the AUC of the ACEF score for predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.849 (95 % CI, 0.820 to 0.876; p<0.0001); sensitivity, 92.3 %; specificity, 59.2 %, and the optimum cut-off value was >1.283.Conclusion The ACEF score presented excellent discrimination in predicting in-hospital mortality. We obtained an easier and more useful result by dividing the ACEF score into two groups instead of three in NSTE-ACS patients. As a simple, useful, and easily applicable risk stratification in the evaluation of an emergency event such as the ACEF score, it can significantly contribute to the identification of patients at high risk.
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Demirtas et al. (2021) conducted an observational in Non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) (n=658). High ACEF score (>1.283) vs. Low ACEF score (≤1.283) was evaluated on In-hospital all-cause mortality (AUC 0.849, 95% CI 0.820-0.876, p=<0.0001). An ACEF score >1.283 demonstrated excellent discrimination for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome, with an AUC of 0.849.
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