PD-L1 expression as biomarker of efficacy of PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitors in metastatic triple negative breast cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background Inhibitors of programmed cell death 1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death ligand 1(PD-L1) checkpoint have been approved for metastatic triple negative breast cancer (mTNBC) in patients positive for PD-L1 expression. Negative results from the recent phase III trials (IMPassion131 and IMPassion132) have raises questions on the efficacy of PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitors and the predictive value of PD-L1 expression. Here we attempt to systematically analyze the biomarker value of PD-L1 expression for predicting the response of PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitors in mTNBC. Materials and methods PubMed database was searched until Dec 2021 for studies evaluating PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitors plus/minus chemotherapy in mTNBC. Outcome of interest included objective response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Review Manager (RevMan) version 5.4. was used for data-analysis. Results In total, 20 clinical trials comprising 3962 mTNBC patients (ICT: 2665 (67%); CT: 1297 (33%) were included in this study. Overall ORR was 22% (95%CI, 14-30%) and significant improvement was observed for PD-L1+ patients (ORR 1.78 95%CI, 1.45-2.19, p0.00001) as compared to PD-L1- cohort. Pooled outcome also indicated a significant 1-year PFS and 2-year OS advantage for patients with PD-L1 expression (1-year PFS: ORR 1.39 95%CI, 1.04-1.85, p=0.02; I 2 = 0%; 2-year OS: (ORR 2.47 95%CI, 1.30-4.69, p=0.006; I 2 = 63%). Subgroup analysis indicated that PD-L1 expression can successfully predict tumor response and 2-year OS benefit in mTNBC patients regardless of the type of investigating agent, line of treatment administration, and to some extent the type of treatment. Biomarker ability of PD-L1 expression to predict 1-year PFS was slightly better with pembrolizumab (p=0.09) than atezolizumab (p=0.18), and significantly better when treatment was administered in the first-line setting (OR 1.38 95%CI, 1.02-1.87, p=0.04) and chemotherapy was added (OR 1.38 95%CI, 1.02-1.86, p=0.03). Immune-related toxicity of any grade and grade≥3 was 39% (95%CI, 26%-52%) and 10% (95%CI, 8%-13%), respectively. Conclusions PD-L1 expression can predict objective response rate and 2-year OS in mTNBC patients receiving PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitors. One-year PFS is also predicted in selected patients. PD-L1 expression can be a useful biomarker of efficacy of PD-1/PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitors in mTNBC.