Modelling selected implications of potential future climate change on the archaeological resource of river catchments: an application of geographical information systems

This paper outlines the use of geographical information systems for predicting the possible implications of future climate change (as suggested by General Circulation Models) on the archaeological resource of selected parts of two major British river systems, the Trent and Yorkshire Ouse. The effects of future climatic change on the historic environment are likely to come from both natural 'system' responses, such as increased bank erosion and valley floor sedimentation, as well as the human adaptive responses selected to manage the impacts of climate change. The models described in this paper allow predictions to be made and quantified about how selected natural and anthropogenic responses may impact upon the archaeological resource. Such approaches, which are relatively rapid to implement and low cost, provide an important management tool for guiding policy makers and heritage managers in the face of changing climates.