Nonlinearity in Demographic and Behavioral Determinants of Morbidity

OBJECTIVE: To examine nonlinearity of determinants of morbidity in the United States DATA SOURCES: A secondary analysis of data on individuals with dietary data from the Cancer Epidemiology Supplement and National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) 1987, a cross-sectional, stratified random sample of the U.S. population (n = 22,080). STUDY DESIGN: A statistical exploration using additive multiple regression models. METHODS: A Morbidity Index (0-30 points), derived from 1987 National Health Interview Survey data, combines number of conditions, hospitalizations, sick days, doctor visits, and degree of disability. Behavioral (health habits) variables were added to multivariate models containing demographic terms, with Morbidity Index and Self-assessed Health outcomes (n = 17,612). Tables and graphs compare models of morbidity with self-assessed health models, with and without behavioral terms. Graphs illustrate curvilinear relationships. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Morbidity and health are associated nonlinearly with age, race, education, and income, as well as alcohol, diet change, vitamin supplement use, body mass index (BMI), marital status/living arrangement, and smoking. Diet change and supplement use, education, income, race/ethnicity, and age relate differently to self-assessed health status than to morbidity. Morbidity is strongly associated with income up to about dollars 15,000 above poverty. Additional income predicts no further reduction in morbidity. Better health is strongly related to both higher income and education. After controlling for income, black race does not predict morbidity, but remains associated with lower self-assessed health. CONCLUSIONS: Good health habits, as captured in these models, are associated with a 10-20-year delay in onset and progression of morbidity.