Key result
EuroSCORE demonstrated excellent predictive ability for mortality in heart surgery patients (AUC 0.824), but considerably overestimated the observed mortality risk.
Why the study?
Does EuroSCORE accurately predict early mortality in adult patients undergoing heart surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass?
Observational (n=1,123)
Does EuroSCORE accurately predict early mortality in adult patients undergoing heart surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass?
Effect estimate: AUC 0.824
While EuroSCORE demonstrates excellent discriminative ability for predicting early mortality after cardiac surgery, it significantly overestimates the absolute mortality risk.
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Caution advised with EuroSCORE absolute mortality predictions; leaves open whether recalibration improves risk assessment in contemporary cohorts.
Hasan Karabulut (2003) conducted an observational in Heart surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (n=1,123). EuroSCORE was evaluated on Predictive value for mortality (area under the ROC curve) (AUC 0.824). EuroSCORE demonstrated excellent predictive ability for mortality in heart surgery patients (AUC 0.824), but considerably overestimated the observed mortality risk.
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