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BACKGROUND: Vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 needs to be assessed in diverse real-world population settings. METHODS: A cohort study of 805,741 residents in Skåne county, Southern Sweden, aged 18-64 years, of whom 26,587 received at least one dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine. Incidence rates of COVID-19 were estimated in sex- and age-adjusted analysis and stratified in two-week periods with substantial community spread of the disease. RESULTS: The estimated vaccine effectiveness in preventing infection ≥7 days after second dose was 86% (95% CI 72-94%) but only 42% (95% CI 14-63%) ≥14 days after a single dose. No difference in vaccine effectiveness was observed between females and males. Having a prior positive test was associated with 91% (95% CI 85-94%) effectiveness against new infection among the unvaccinated. CONCLUSION: A satisfactory effectiveness of BNT162b2 after the second dose was suggested, but with possibly substantially lower effect before the second dose.
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Björk et al. (2021) studied this question.
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