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June 13, 2016Journal of the American Society of Nephrology389 citationsOpen Access

AKI and Long-Term Risk for Cardiovascular Events and Mortality

AOAyodele OdutayoCWChristopher X. WongMFMichael E. Farkouh

Key Result

Acute kidney injury was associated with an 86% increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (RR 1.86) and a 38% increased risk of major cardiovascular events compared to adults without AKI.

Study Design

Type

Meta-Analysis (n=254,408)

Structured PICO

Does acute kidney injury increase the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality and major cardiovascular events in adults?

P
Population
254,408 adults, including 55,150 with acute kidney injury, from 25 cohort studies followed to assess the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality and major cardiovascular events.
E
Exposure
Acute kidney injury (AKI)
C
Comparator
Adults without AKI
O
Outcome
Cardiovascular mortality and major cardiovascular eventshard clinical

Acute kidney injury is significantly associated with an elevated long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality and major cardiovascular events, particularly heart failure and acute myocardial infarction.

Main Result

Relative Risk: 1.86 (95% CI 1.72–2.01)

Limitations

  • Lacked individual patient data, preventing a common definition of AKI and uniform multivariable adjustments
  • Majority of included studies examined highly selected populations
  • Assessment of AKI severity was limited to mild versus moderate-to-severe categories
  • Observational nature of included studies means associations cannot be deemed causal due to potential residual confounding

Abstract

AKI associates with increased long-term risk of mortality, but the prognostic significance of AKI in terms of long-term cardiovascular disease remains unconfirmed. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess whether AKI associates with long-term cardiovascular disease. We included cohort studies that examined adults with and without AKI and reported a multivariable-adjusted relative risk (RR) for the association between AKI and cardiovascular mortality, major cardiovascular events, and disease-specific events: congestive heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, and stroke. Twenty-five studies involving 254,408 adults (55,150 with AKI) were included. AKI associated with an 86% and a 38% increased risk of cardiovascular mortality and major cardiovascular events, respectively (RR 1.86; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.72 to 2.01 and RR 1.38; 95% CI, 1.23 to 1.55, respectively). For disease-specific events, AKI associated with a 58% increased risk of heart failure (RR 1.58; 95% CI, 1.46 to 1.72) and a 40% increased risk of acute myocardial infarction (RR 1.40; 95% CI, 1.23 to 1.59). The elevated risk of heart failure and acute myocardial infarction persisted in subgroup analyses on the basis of AKI severity and the proportion of adults with baseline ischemic heart disease. Finally, AKI was associated with a 15% increased risk of stroke (RR 1.15; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.28). In conclusion, AKI associates with an elevated risk of cardiovascular mortality and major cardiovascular events, particularly heart failure and acute myocardial infarction.

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Cite This Study

Odutayo et al. (2016) conducted a meta-analysis in Acute Kidney Injury (n=254,408). Acute Kidney Injury vs. No Acute Kidney Injury was evaluated on Cardiovascular mortality (RR 1.86, 95% CI 1.72 to 2.01). Acute kidney injury was associated with an 86% increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (RR 1.86) and a 38% increased risk of major cardiovascular events compared to adults without AKI.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a20a30e2ad198cbe7f374f4https://doi.org/10.1681/asn.2016010105
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