Key result
The 2010 OxyContin reformulation led users to substitute to generic oxycodone, with every standard deviation increase in pre-reformulation generic oxycodone exposure associated with a 40.8% increase in heroin mortality by 2012.
Why the study?
Previous research on OxyContin reformulation overlooked generic oxycodone and suggested the reformulation caused users to switch directly to heroin.
Does the 2010 OxyContin reformulation reduce opioid or heroin mortality in the United States population?
Observational
Does the 2010 OxyContin reformulation reduce opioid or heroin mortality in the United States population?
Effect estimate: 40.8% increase per SD
The 2010 OxyContin reformulation led to substitution to generic oxycodone rather than heroin, demonstrating that partial supply-side interventions may fail to reduce overall opioid mortality when substitutes are available.
Reformulation may not reduce overall opioid mortality amid substitution; leaves open whether comprehensive supply interventions succeed without addressing alternatives.
The opioid epidemic began with prescription pain relievers. In 2010 Purdue Pharma reformulated OxyContin to make it more difficult to abuse. OxyContin misuse fell dramatically, and concurrently heroin deaths began to rise. Previous research overlooked generic oxycodone and argued that the reformulation induced OxyContin users to switch directly to heroin. Using a novel and fine-grained source of all oxycodone sales from 2006-2014, we show that the reformulation led users to substitute from OxyContin to generic oxycodone, and the reformulation had no overall impact on opioid or heroin mortality. In fact, generic oxycodone, instead of OxyContin, was the driving factor in the transition to heroin. Finally, we show that by omitting generic oxycodone we recover the results of the literature. These findings highlight the important role generic oxycodone played in the opioid epidemic and the limited effectiveness of a partial supply-side intervention.
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Zhang et al. (2021) conducted an observational in Opioid misuse and overdose mortality. OxyContin reformulation and generic oxycodone exposure vs. Pre-reformulation period and areas with low exposure was evaluated on Heroin mortality (40.8% increase per SD). The 2010 OxyContin reformulation led users to substitute to generic oxycodone, with every standard deviation increase in pre-reformulation generic oxycodone exposure associated with a 40.8% increase in heroin mortality by 2012.
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