PLAAF score as a novel predictor of long-term outcome after second-generation cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation

Aims: Predictors of atrial arrhythmia recurrence have not been described in a long-term follow-up study of patients undergoing pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) using the cryoballoon technique. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of a second-generation cryoballoon and identify pre-procedural predictors of 3-year outcome after PVI. Methods and results: For this observational cohort study, we enrolled 440 patients ablated at our institution with a second-generation cryoballoon. The endpoint was the first documented recurrence (>30 s) of atrial fibrillation (AF), atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia after a 3-month blanking period. The impact of several pre-existing variables on clinical outcome was evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The PLAAF (persistent AF, left atrial area, abnormal PV anatomy, AF history, female gender) score was defined to predict outcome. After a median follow-up of 36 months (interquartile range 25/75-27/42), the endpoint was achieved in 95 of 440 (21.6%) patients. Cox regression analysis showed that persistent AF, left atrial (LA) area, abnormal PV anatomy, AF history, and female gender independently predicted recurrence. The calculated optimal cut-offs for LA area and AF history were 21 cm2 and 3 years, respectively. Patients with a PLAAF score of 0 showed the best outcome, with an arrhythmia-free survival of 86.7%. Conclusion: PVI using the cryoballoon technique shows acceptable long-term results depending on predictors described by the new PLAAF score, which may facilitate patient selection for PVI.