Markovian models for home electricity consumption

Modelling home energy consumption is necessary for studying demand-response, transformer sizing, and distribution network simulation. Using an existing classification, we propose parsimonious Markovian reference models of home load for each class. We derive models for on-peak periods, off-peak periods, and mid-peak periods. These models are derived using traces based on fine-grained measurements of electricity consumption in 20 homes over four months. We validate the representativeness of our models in a specific application.