Randomized trial examines fire behavior transitions in boreal forest fuels, indicating key ignition factors.
Lightning-ignited wildfires are an increasing hazard in boreal forests, with their frequency amplified by global warming and more frequent thunderstorms. However, the mechanisms governing lightning-induced ignition and the subsequent smoldering–flaming transition remain poorly understood. This study aims to understand the ignition mechanisms of lightning-induced forest fires by combining a physics-based heat-balance model and controlled laboratory simulations. Experiments were conducted using twelve representative surface fuel types collected from six typical forest types in the Daxing’anling region, a lightning fire-prone area in northern China. Three fundamental stages of fire behavior development were systematically investigated, including the lightning-induced ignition, smoldering propagation, and the smoldering-to-flaming transition. Fuel moisture content was varied from 5% to 45%, and wind speed was adjusted between 0 and 5 m/s. The results demonstrated that discharge energy and wind speed significantly increased ignition probability, while fuel moisture content was negatively correlated with smoldering spread rate. Wind speed showed the greatest influence on the smoldering-to-flaming transition. The findings provide new mechanistic insights into the thermal and physical processes driving lightning-induced fires, supporting predictive modeling of ignition thresholds and fire behavior under changing meteorological and fuel conditions.
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Lou et al. (2026) studied this question.
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