Key result
Neutrophil-predominant pleural effusions linked to ~100% higher mortality in patients with organ failure.
Why the study?
Pleural effusions caused by organ dysfunction carry poor survival rates, but determinants of prognosis remain uncertain.
Cohort (n=755)
Yes
In patients with pleural effusions due to organ failure, one-year mortality is high (33-46%), with neutrophil predominance and elevated NT-proBNP serving as significant predictors of poor outcomes.
May identify higher-risk organ failure effusions; leaves open prospective validation before guiding management.
Introduction Pleural effusions caused by organ dysfunction are the commonest pleural disease and account for a huge healthcare burden. Previous work has demonstrated poor survival rates, but there is still uncertainty about determinants of prognosis. This study describes the characteristics and risk factors for poor outcomes in patients with pleural effusion secondary to organ failure in an international cohort. Methods The European Respiratory Society International Multicentre Pleural Research Collaborative (IMPACT) registry includes an international retrospective study of patients with effusions secondary to heart, liver or renal failure, collected from 10 countries in Europe and North and South America between 2019 and 2021. The data were analysed for associations between baseline patient characteristics and key clinical outcomes. Descriptive data were collected on treatments and complications. Results A total of 755 patients contributed data. Overall, 85.2% of effusions were classified as transudates by Light's criteria. 42% of effusions were bilateral. One-year mortality rates were 46% in renal, 35% in hepatic and 33% in cardiac effusions. Increased mortality was observed in neutrophil-predominant effusions (HR 2.001, 95% CI 1.202–3.349, p=0.008), with age (HR 1.013, 95 CI 1.002–1.024, p=0.02) and with N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide >450 pg·mL −1 (HR 1.508, 95% CI 1.191–1.911) in patients with cardiac failure. Therapeutic thoracentesis was the most frequently employed pleural intervention; indwelling pleural catheter use was rare and associated with higher pleural infection rates than thoracentesis. Conclusion This study identifies prognostic factors in an international cohort of patients with transudative pleural effusions. Identification of these risk factors may support treatment approaches in a global population.
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Welch et al. (2025) conducted a cohort in Pleural effusions secondary to heart, liver or renal failure (n=755). Neutrophil-predominant effusions was evaluated on Mortality (HR 2.001, 95% CI 1.202-3.349, p=0.008). Neutrophil-predominant pleural effusions were associated with increased mortality (HR 2.001; 95% CI 1.202–3.349; p=0.008) in patients with effusions secondary to organ failure.
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