Key result
Within-blanking recurrences after cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation independently predicted late atrial fibrillation recurrences at 12 months (HR 3.453; 95% CI 1.544-7.722; P=0.003).
Why the study?
Do early recurrences within the blanking period predict 12-month ablation failure in patients undergoing cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation for atrial fibrillation?
Cohort (n=60)
No
Do early recurrences within the blanking period predict 12-month ablation failure in patients undergoing cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation for atrial fibrillation?
Hazard Ratio: 3.453 (95% CI 1.544–7.722)
Absolute Event Rate: 82.3% vs 30.2%
p-value: p=0.003
Continuous cardiac monitoring reveals that early recurrences within the blanking period after cryoballoon ablation strongly predict 12-month ablation failure.
Early recurrences may identify higher-risk patients after cryoballoon PVI; hypothesis-generating and should not yet change practice.
INTRODUCTION: Recurrences within the blanking period (early recurrences) are common after atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation by pulmonary vein isolation (PVI), but their clinical significance is still controversial. We aimed at evaluating the significance of within-blanking recurrences at 12-month follow-up after cryoballoon (CB) PVI, and to assess the real procedural success rate by continuous monitoring of cardiac rhythm. METHODS AND RESULTS: Sixty consecutive AF patients (34 paroxysmal, 56.7%) underwent their first CB-PVI at one Italian center (May 2013 to April 2015), and subsequent implantation of an implantable loop recorder (ILR). Overall, 12-month success rate after the blanking period was 55%. The shortest detected event was 7 minutes long. Late recurrences were more frequent in non-paroxysmal (19/26, 73.1%) than in paroxysmal AF (8/34, 23.5%; P <0.001). Early recurrences occurred in 17 (28.3%) patients, with 14 also having late recurrences (82.3%), while only 13 out of 43 (30.2%) without within-blanking recurrences experienced post-blanking events (P <0.001). Overall, early recurrences showed 51.8% sensitivity (95% CI 31.9-71.3%) and 90.9% specificity (95% CI 75.7-98.1%) for later recurrences, with 82.3% (95% CI 56.6-96.2%) positive and 69.8% (95% CI 53.9-82.8%) negative predictive value. The positive likelihood ratio was 5.7 (95% CI 1.8-17.8). At multivariable analysis, non-paroxysmal AF (HR: 3.113; 95% CI 1.309-7.403; P = 0.010) and within-blanking recurrences (HR: 3.453; 95% CI 1.544-7.722; P = 0.003) were independent predictors of post-blanking AT/AF. CONCLUSION: CB-PVI for paroxysmal AF shows a 12-month success rate of 76.5% after one single procedure, as assessed by continuous cardiac rhythm monitoring. Within-blanking recurrences predict the ablation failure in more than 80% of patients.
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Pieragnoli et al. (2017) conducted a cohort in Paroxysmal and non-paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (n=60). Within-blanking recurrences vs. No within-blanking recurrences was evaluated on Post-blanking AT/AF (late recurrences) (HR 3.453, 95% CI 1.544-7.722, p=0.003). Within-blanking recurrences after cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation independently predicted late atrial fibrillation recurrences at 12 months (HR 3.453; 95% CI 1.544-7.722; P=0.003).
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