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June 7, 2026Diabetes

2184-P: CGM-Derived Measures in Relation to 10-Year CVD Risk in Adults without Diabetes

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Why the study?

Prediabetes and diabetes are established CVD risk factors, but how dynamic glucose fluctuations relate to CVD risk in individuals without diabetes remains unclear.

Do CGM-derived measures and 2-h post-MMTT glucose associate with estimated 10-year CVD risk in adults without diabetes?

Population

1374 Framingham Heart Study participants free of diabetes and CVD

Comparison

Standardized CGM-derived measures and 2-h post-MMTT glucose levels

Design

Cross-sectional observational study

Key result

Higher 2-h post-MMTT glucose and CGM measures were associated with higher odds of intermediate or high 10-year CVD risk (ORs 1.21-1.70, p<0.001) in adults without diabetes.

Authors

BBBahar BakhshiVXVanessa XanthakisHLHonghuang Lin

Discussion

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Member takes

Overview

Dynamic glycemia metrics link to CVD risk in nondiabetics; extends evidence but leaves open clinical utility pending prospective studies.

Key Points

  • This research investigates the relationship between glucose fluctuations and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in adults without diabetes.
  • Included 1374 Framingham Heart Study participants free of diabetes and CVD, with ≥3 days of CGM data.
  • Used multinomial regression to analyze GLU levels and PREVENT categories, adjusting for fasting plasma glucose.
  • Estimated CVD risk with PREVENT equations for 10-year outcomes.
  • Higher 2-h post-MMTT glucose correlated with increased odds of intermediate/high CVD risk (ORs: 1.21-1.70, p<0.001).
  • Each 1 SD increase in CGM-derived measures resulted in a higher overall 10-year CVD risk (β:0.07-0.16, p<0.001).

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=1,374)

Structured PICO

Do CGM-derived measures and 2-h post-MMTT glucose associate with estimated 10-year CVD risk in adults without diabetes?

P
Population
1,374 adults (mean age 59.3 years, 55.8% female) free of diabetes and CVD, evaluated for the association between CGM-derived measures and estimated 10-year CVD risk.
E
Exposure
Standardized CGM-derived measures (including mean glucose and time >140mg/dL) and 2-h post-MMTT glucose
O
Outcome
10-year total CVD risk estimated using the Predicting Risk of CVD EVENTs (PREVENT) base equationssurrogate

Main Result

Effect estimate: OR 1.21-1.70

p-value: p=<0.001

Dynamic measures of glycemia, such as CGM-derived metrics and post-MMTT glucose, are associated with higher estimated 10-year CVD risk in adults without diabetes, independent of fasting plasma glucose.

Cite This Study

Bakhshi et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Adults without diabetes and cardiovascular disease (n=1,374). Higher 2-h post-MMTT glucose and CGM measures was evaluated on Intermediate/high 10-year CVD risk (PREVENT score ≥7.5%) (OR 1.21-1.70, p=<0.001). Higher 2-h post-MMTT glucose and CGM measures were associated with higher odds of intermediate or high 10-year CVD risk (ORs 1.21-1.70, p<0.001) in adults without diabetes.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a250baa7def13d035e1bb70https://doi.org/10.2337/db26-2184-p
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