Key result
Older-onset T1D linked to ~193% higher cardiovascular risk compared to younger-onset disease.
Why the study?
Type 1 diabetes exhibits substantial heterogeneity, but the key clinical phenotypes characterizing this heterogeneity remain unclear.
Does age at onset define distinct clinical endotypes and cardiovascular risk profiles in patients with Type 1 diabetes?
Cohort (n=879)
Yes
Does age at onset define distinct clinical endotypes and cardiovascular risk profiles in patients with Type 1 diabetes?
Hazard Ratio: 2.93 (95% CI 1.49–5.78)
Age at onset is the primary driver of phenotypic heterogeneity in Type 1 diabetes, with older onset (≥13 years) associated with significantly higher long-term cardiovascular risk.
May inform age-based CV risk stratification in T1D; leaves open prospective validation of endotype-guided interventions.
Introduction and Objective: Type 1 diabetes (T1D) exhibits substantial heterogeneity, yet the key clinical phenotypes remain unclear. We applied DDRTree machine learning to identify the key phenotype characterizing T1D heterogeneity and validate the existence of age-related endotypes. Methods: We performed DDRTree dimensionality reduction analysis using data on 13 phenotypes (age at onset, BMI, blood pressure, ALT, HbA1c, creatinine, triglycerides, HDL-C, total cholesterol, GADA, IA-2A, ZnT8A) from 879 patients with T1D to identify the most important clinical phenotype. We then evaluated the rationality of classifying patients into age-related endotypes (<7, 7-13, ≥13 years) and compared clinical, immunological, and genetic profiles across groups to confirm the presence of age-related endotypes. Finally, we validated the existence of these endotypes in an external UK Biobank cohort and investigated longitudinal cardiovascular outcomes associated with age-at-onset phenotypes. Results: Age at onset emerged as the most important phenotype for T1D heterogeneity, explaining 64.6% of the variance in the DDRTree dimensionality reduction. Classification into age-related endotypes showed significant differences in DDRTree dimensional coordinates (p = 1.61×10-54), supporting the rationality of this grouping. Autoantibody positivity (IA-2A, ZnT8A: p < 0.001), HLA genetic risk (p < 0.001), and metabolic characteristics differed significantly, further confirming age-related endotypes. Moreover, phenotypic heterogeneity by onset age attenuated with disease duration in both the internal and UK Biobank cohorts. Regarding long-term outcomes, older-onset T1D patients exhibited higher cardiovascular risk (sHR = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.49-5.78 for ≥13 vs. <7 years). Conclusion: DDRTree analysis identified age at onset as the key phenotype of T1D heterogeneity. Dimensionality reduction demonstrated excellent discriminative performance, supporting the existence of age-related endotypes. Disclosure S. Chang: None. H. Tan: None. T. Yue: None. Y. Ding: None. Z. Gu: None. Y. Shi: None. L. Pan: None. C. Guo: None. J. Weng: None. X. Zheng: None. Funding Foundation programs supporting included Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project (2023ZD0509100; 2023ZD0509102), the National Natural Science Foundation (8247087), and Program for Innovative Research Team of The First Affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China (CXGG02)
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Chang et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Type 1 diabetes (n=879). Older onset age (≥13 years) vs. Younger onset age (<7 years) was evaluated on Cardiovascular risk (sHR 2.93, 95% CI 1.49-5.78). Older-onset Type 1 diabetes (≥13 years) was associated with a significantly higher cardiovascular risk compared to younger-onset disease (<7 years) (sHR 2.93; 95% CI 1.49-5.78).
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