Key result
The CardioMet12 scoring system demonstrated satisfactory screening performance for cardiovascular disease (AUC 0.782), with individuals scoring ≥56 having a >50% risk of CVD diagnosis.
Why the study?
Widely accepted scoring systems to accurately gauge the comprehensive impacts of metabolic disorders on cardiovascular disease risk are lacking.
Does the CardioMet12 scoring system accurately screen for clinical or sub-clinical cardiovascular disease in adults?
Observational (n=4,066)
Yes
Does the CardioMet12 scoring system accurately screen for clinical or sub-clinical cardiovascular disease in adults?
Effect estimate: AUC 0.782
The CardioMet12 scoring system, based on metabolic clustering networks, provides a robust metric for comprehensive CVD screening and evaluation.
May support metabolic screening in Chinese adults; leaves open external validation and prospective trials before practice change.
Introduction and Objective: The absence of widely accepted scoring systems to accurately gauge the comprehensive impacts of metabolic disorders on cardiovascular diseases (CVD) risk remains a significant challenge. This study developed a CVD assessment model based on metabolic clustering networks. Methods: The study (NCT07043166) included 4752 adults through three-stage stratified sampling in China, as a part of the STONE study. Adults aged 18-65 years who had resided in the selected community for more than 6 months and were free of severe diseases were included. 68 indices across 7 major dimensions of metabolic health were mapped using betweenness centrality and permutation testing, and logistic regression was combined with genetic algorithm, leading to the development of a novel CVD screening scoring system (CardioMet12). CardioMet12 was externally validated using NHANES population. Results: 1. Participants characteristics: A total of 4066 participants were enrolled and 922 met criteria for clinical or sub-clinical CVD (22.68 %).2. Key findings: 12 central indicators were identified because of statistical and clinical relevance to CVD and availability in routine examination to establish CardioMet12, including non-traditional factors such as total bilirubin and bone mineral density, whose betweeness centrality was markedly higher than in randomly permuted networks (p < 0.001).3. Model performance: CardioMet12 exhibited satisfactory screening performance on validation set, achieving an AUC of 0.782, with 0.731 sensitivity and 0.711 specificity. Individuals scoring ≥56 had a risk of CVD diagnosis >50% in the STONE and NHANES samples. Conclusion: Metabolic-related alterations influence CVD through multiple dimensions within systems biology. Based on analysis from Chinese and US epidemiological cohorts and network analysis, CardioMet12 emerges as a robust metric that considers the complex interplay among metabolic disorders, supporting a more proactive and comprehensive approach to CVD screening and evaluation. Disclosure X. Cai: None. Funding Shanghai Municipal Health Commission Grant (No.: GWIV-27.7 to YQ.S); Chongqing Overseas Support Program (to J.Z.); Chongqing Excellent Youth Project (No.: CSTB2024YCJH-KYXM0098 to J.Z.); General Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.: 82170858, 82470935 to T.L.); “Dawn” Program of Shanghai Education Commission, China (No.: 23SG33, to T.L.).
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Xinyi Cai (2026) conducted an observational in Cardiovascular disease (n=4,066). CardioMet12 scoring system was evaluated on Screening performance for clinical or sub-clinical CVD (AUC 0.782). The CardioMet12 scoring system demonstrated satisfactory screening performance for cardiovascular disease (AUC 0.782), with individuals scoring ≥56 having a >50% risk of CVD diagnosis.
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