Key result
Multitrait, multiancestry polygenic risk scores link to ~72% higher CHD risk per SD.
Why the study?
Performance and transferability of contemporary polygenic risk scores for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease phenotypes may vary across methods, training data, and trait ascertainment.
Do multitrait and multiancestry polygenic risk scores improve risk prediction for atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases in an ancestrally diverse cohort?
Cohort (n=245,388)
Yes
Do multitrait and multiancestry polygenic risk scores improve risk prediction for atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases in an ancestrally diverse cohort?
Multitrait and multiancestry polygenic risk scores improve the prediction of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases across diverse populations compared to traditional single-trait or European-centric scores, though performance remains optimal in individuals of European ancestry.
Multitrait PRS may refine ASCVD risk prediction across ancestries; extends single-trait scores but remains hypothesis-generating pending outcome trials.
BACKGROUND: Performance and transferability of contemporary polygenic risk scores (PRS) for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease phenotypes may vary across PRS methods, training data, and trait ascertainment. METHODS: We aimed to investigate the performance and transferability of contemporary PRS for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease subtypes: coronary heart disease (CHD), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), ischemic stroke (IS), and peripheral artery disease (PAD), using the All of Us Workbench, which consists of a large, diverse cohort with whole-genome sequence data. We also developed and evaluated a multitrait PRS for each subtype. Performance of PRS for 4 atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease subtypes was compared across genetic similarity groups in 245 388 All of Us participants. Groups genetically similar to European, African, admixed American, and remaining groups (combined as other) were used to assess PRS for CHD, IS, AAA, PAD, and multitrait. RESULTS: PRS for CHD and AAA performed better than IS and PAD. For CHD, CHD PGS003725 performed the best (hazard ratio per SD increase [95% CI]), across genetic ancestry groups, European, and African (1.72 [1.67–1.78], 1.23 [1.17–1.29]), with CHD PGS004696 being best for admixed American (1.91 [1.70–2.15]), and CHD PGS003356 for other (1.75 [1.58–1.95]). The best performing PRS for AAA was AAA multi for European, other, and admixed American (1.71 [1.52–1.92], 1.59 [1.07–2.37], 1.50 [0.90–2.52]) and AAA PGS003972 for African (1.39 [1.19–1.63]). For IS, IS multi performed best for other and European (1.49 [1.17–1.89], 1.33 [1.25–1.42]), and IS PGS000039 performed best in admixed American and African (1.17 [1.07–1.27], 1.09 [1.04–1.15]). For PAD, PAD multi performed best for all groups (other, 1.51 [1.19–1.92]; European, 1.32 [1.24–1.41]; admixed American, 1.23 [1.05–1.45]; and African, 1.18 [1.04–1.34]). CONCLUSIONS: Multitrait and multiancestry PRS performed better than individual trait and/or single ancestry PRS for each atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease phenotype across ancestrally diverse and admixed individuals, with minimal change including adjustment for conventional risk factors.
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Smith et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) (n=245,388). Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for ASCVD subtypes vs. Per 1 standard deviation increase in PRS score was evaluated on Incident coronary heart disease (CHD) predicted by CHD PGS003725 per 1 standard deviation increase in European ancestry individuals (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.67-1.78). Multitrait and multiancestry polygenic risk scores for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease performed better than single-trait scores across diverse groups, yielding a hazard ratio per standard deviation increase of up to 1.72 for coronary heart disease in European populations.
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