Demonstrates improved battery RUL prediction, indicating enhanced maintenance practices.
Accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is essential for reliable battery management and cost-effective maintenance in lithium-ion energy storage applications. This study proposes a leakage-safe learning framework for battery RUL prediction from numerical cycling features, emphasizing realistic generalization to unseen batteries through group-aware splitting. The core contribution is a proper out-of-fold (OOF) stacking ensemble trained under GroupKFold to prevent information leakage across samples from the same battery while enabling an effective meta-learner to combine diverse learners. Experiments are conducted on a public Battery RUL dataset from Kaggle, and performance is evaluated using complementary regression metrics (R², MAE, RMSE) and robust percentage errors (sMAPE, WAPE). Results show that the proposed stacking approach (OOF GroupKFold with Meta-XGBoost) achieves the best overall performance (R² = 0.999550, MAE = 5.297907, RMSE = 6.834146, sMAPE = 3.080569, WAPE = 0.958618), outperforming strong baselines including XGBoost and Random Forest. These findings confirm that leakage-safe group-aware stacking can significantly enhance accuracy and stability for battery RUL prediction in practical deployment settings.
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Ajarmeh et al. (2026) studied this question.
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