Turbulence in the Innovative Development of Russian Regions

The article examines the stability of the institutional model for the development of an innovative economy in mesoeconomic systems, known as the Triple Helix Model, from the perspective of the wave turbulence theory. The possibility of using the phenomenon of turbulence to describe the processes occurring in innovation markets is substantiated. The evidence base is based on regional statistics on the development of the innovative economy in federal subjects of Russia. Methods of multivariate statistical analysis (classification, factor analysis), time series analysis (spectral analysis), and cognitive modeling are used to display and simulate system interactions in regional mesoeconomic systems. The novelty of the study is the quantitative substantiation that the presence of traditional industrial sectors in the federal subjects interested in using innovations is of significant importance for innovative development. The innovative impulse that arises in the economies of such regional systems can lead to turbulent processes that generate synergistic effects that form a sustainable trajectory of innovative development.